韩国国防情报局（DIA） 30日在国会报告中表示：“北韩与俄罗斯的关系正在演变为包括军事援助在内的‘血盟’。”“我们认为，朝鲜将寻求俄罗斯先进的军事和太空技术，并试图使其常规部队现代化，”该机构表示。北韩外相崔善姬当天抵达莫斯科，此前有报道称，北韩向俄罗斯派遣了数千名军队，与乌克兰作战。预计她将与俄罗斯讨论这次部署的条款。

前白宫高级顾问、中情局资深官员丹尼斯·怀尔德强调了朝鲜可能获得核动力潜艇和洲际弹道导弹再入技术所带来的风险。“如果朝鲜的核动力潜艇在西太平洋上游荡，对我们所有人来说都将是一个巨大的问题。”然而，对韩国来说，这种情况不仅令人头疼，而且是一种严重的安全威胁。

去年9月，朝鲜领导人金正恩公开了一艘具有水下打击能力的战术核潜艇，并明确表示海军的核军备是“一项紧迫任务”。虽然朝鲜拥有水下发射的核导弹，但它缺乏核动力潜艇技术。如果俄罗斯向北韩提供这种技术，北韩就可以将核导弹隐藏在具有无限水下能力的潜艇中。这对南方来说是一场灾难。

如果金正恩获得核动力潜艇，而美国发现自己无法完全拦截朝鲜的核导弹，华盛顿可能会被迫重新考虑对平壤的立场。美国可能会承认朝鲜的核能力，部分解除制裁，朝着管理风险而不是消除风险的方向发展。这种情况对韩国来说也将是灾难性的。

国防情报局还指出，“北韩有可能在11月再次发射洲际弹道导弹。”朝鲜还没有以标准角度和射程发射洲际弹道导弹，因此外界认为朝鲜缺乏再入技术。但是，如果莫斯科向平壤提供洲际弹道导弹的再入技术，朝鲜的核导弹能力将是完整的，为朝鲜与美国谈判“核裁军”协议创造了条件

金正恩不会毫无回报地派遣一万多名朝鲜军队到危险的战区。俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京（Vladimir Putin）面临压力，俄罗斯入侵乌克兰造成60多万人伤亡。他可能会同意金正恩的要求，提供核动力潜艇、洲际弹道导弹（ICBM）再入大气层技术或最新型战斗机等先进武器作为妥协。然而，这样的决定将发出蓄意敌视韩国的信号。如果俄罗斯越过这条“红线”，韩国只能采取紧急应对措施。

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30일 국회에 “북·러 관계가 혈맹으로 근본적 변화를 하는 과정에서 상호 군사 지원을 교환하고 있다”며 “특히 북한이 러시아의 우주·첨단 군사 기술뿐 아니라 재래식 전력 현대화도 추진할 것으로 판단한다”고 보고했다. 북한군 일부가 이미 전선에 투입됐다는 외신 보도가 나오는 가운데 북한 최선희 외무상이 이날 모스크바에 도착했다. 러시아와 파병 대가를 논의할 가능성이 있다. 이와 관련, CIA 출신인 데니스 와일더 전 백악관 선임보좌관은 핵 추진 잠수함과 ICBM 재진입 기술 등을 언급하며 “북한의 핵잠수함이 서태평양을 누비고 다닌다면 우리 모두에게 엄청난 골칫거리가 될 것”이라고 했다. 한국엔 골칫거리가 아니라 심각한 안보 위협이다.